In November 2017, European sales of passenger cars continued on the same pace as in October, with a 6% growth rate to 1,25 million sales, partially helped by one additional selling day compared to November 2016. This marks the 9th month of increased sales this year 2017 and brings the year-to-date total up 3,7% to 14,36 sales after 11 months. That’s already above the 2015 full year figure and gives us an estimated 15,6 million sales for the full year 2017, the fourth consecutive year of growth and just half a million sales off the record years 2004 and 2005. Sales of regular cars (hatchbacks, station wagons, sedans, coupes and convertibles) are stable in
November (YTD: -0,5%), while MPV and passenger vans sales are down by 2,9% (YTD: -4,5%) and sales of crossovers and SUVs are booming just like in the US and China: up 21,1% (YTD: +17,1%). Among the biggest markets, Spain (+12,4%) and France (+10,3%) posted double digit growth, while Germany (+9,4%) and Italy (+6,8%) also outgrew the overall market. That was counterbalanced by the UK car market which was down for the 8th consecutive month with registrations down 11,2% in November. Besides the UK, only Cyprus (-12,5%) Ireland (-9%), Romania (-3,5%) and Czech Republic (-1%) lose volume in November, while Lithuania (+57,4%), Bulgaria (+55,4%), and Hungary (+31,4%) show impressive growth rates. Year-to-date, Italy (+8,7%) and Spain (+7,8%) maintain their V-shaped recovery, as France (+5,3%) also does better than the European average, but Germany (+3%) stays slightly behind. Car sales in the United Kingdom are down by 5% in the first 11 months of 2017.
For only the third time this year and the first time since June, Volkswagen Group is the biggest gaining manufacturer in Europe with over 15.000 additional sales, with PSA not far behind. Renault-Nissan adds “just” slightly more than 7.000 sales in November. In relative terms, Tesla Motors is the fastest growing manufacturer for the 5th time this year and the only manufacturer to more than double its sales year-over-year. SAIC MG grows by almost a third while Suzuki adds more than a quarter to its volume of November 2016. We only have 3 losers among manufacturers this month and for the very first time in 2017 Honda is not one of them. FCA Fiat-Chrysler Automobiles is the biggest loser in absolute terms with 650 fewer sales than last November, while Aston Martin is the biggest loser in relative terms: down 6,5% thanks to 9 less sales. Geely, with its Volvo and Lotus brands, falls right in between these two.
At brand level, Peugeot is the big winner in November, taking the grunt of PSA‘s improvement, with Dacia and Toyota also adding impressive volume. It’s the first time this year for Dacia to be featured among the biggest absolute monthly winners. Among relative gainers, Tesla is followed by the niche players Dodge (only available through grey-market imports) and Lamborghini. At the other end of the scale we find Fiat, Opel/Vauxhall and Nissan losing the most sales, while Lotus, Infiniti and Mahindralost the biggest percentage of their volume in November.
November winners and losers
Manufacturer biggest volume increase | Volkswagen Group | 15.448 | Manufacturer biggest volume lost | Fiat-Chrysler Automobiles | -650 | |
PSA-Opel | 14.827 | Geely | -432 | |||
Renault-Nissan | 7.125 | Aston Martin | -9 | |||
Manufacturer biggest % increase | Tesla Motors | 179,9% | Manufacturer biggest % lost | Aston Martin | -6,5% | |
SAIC MG | 31,2% | Geely | -1,7% | |||
Suzuki | 25,5% | Fiat-Chrysler Automobiles | -0,9% | |||
Brand biggest volume increase | Peugeot | 13.118 | Brand biggest volume lost | Fiat | -4.324 | |
Dacia | 6.257 | Opel/Vauxhall | -3.271 | |||
Toyota | 5.649 | Nissan | -1.935 | |||
Brand biggest % increase | Tesla | 179,9% | Brand biggest % lost | Lotus | -52,3% | |
Dodge | 88,2% | Infiniti | -26,1% | |||
Lamborghini | 34,5% | Mahindra | -13,2% |
Not a lot of changes in the year-to-date winners and losers ranking, with Renault-Nissan still the biggest gaining manufacturer, although Volkswagen Group is closing in on Toyota Motor Company to challenge for the title of second-biggest improvement. Its first (small) gain of the year in November can’t help Honda from being the biggest loser of the year by far, with Ford Motor Company and Mazda at a distance. Ford has suffered greatly from the model changeover of its best seller Fiesta and should be able to bounce back in 2018. Tesla reclaims the title of fastest growing manufacturer year-to-date from Aston Martin, while all 3 fastest declining manufacturers Honda, Mahindra&Mahindra and Subaru Corp. reduce their losses. The former two are still at double digit losses, though.
Thanks to its impressive performance in November, Peugeot has joined Toyota and Mercedes-Benz as the three brands that have added the most volume so far this year, passing Renault. Opel/Vauxhall continues to swing in the other direction as the biggest loser of 2017 so far and it seems highly unlikely that another brand will out-lose it by the end of the year, as DS and Honda are at almost half the lost volume of the newly-added PSA daughter. DS is and will stay the biggest loser of the year in relative terms, losing more than 30% of its sales so far.
January-November winners and losers
Manufacturer biggest volume increase | Renault-Nissan | 111.779 | Manufacturer biggest volume lost | Honda | -17.322 | |
Toyota Motor | 83.051 | Ford Motor Comp. | -5.733 | |||
Volkswagen Group | 81.330 | Mazda | -5.274 | |||
Manufacturer biggest % increase | Tesla Motors | 82,3% | Manufacturer biggest % lost | Honda | -11,7% | |
Aston Martin | 73,3% | Mahindra&Mahindra | -10,3% | |||
General Motors | 35,4% | Subaru Corp. | -5,9% | |||
Brand biggest volume increase | Toyota | 82.577 | Brand biggest volume lost | Opel/Vauxhall | -35.635 | |
Mercedes-Benz | 71.857 | DS | -19.094 | |||
Peugeot | 50.499 | Honda | -17.322 | |||
Brand biggest % increase | Tesla | 82,3% | Brand biggest % lost | DS | -31,0% | |
Aston Martin | 73,3% | Honda | -11,7% | |||
Chevrolet | 47,0% | SSangYong | -10,4% |
The top-6 of the brands ranking remains unchanged from October, although Peugeot managed to close in to Ford‘s 3rd place by less than 1.500 sales. The last time Peugeot outsold its American rival was in February 2014 and the last time this happened in a non-February and non-August month (as Ford is traditionally weak in those months due to its dependence on the UK market which has seasonal dips) was in 2010. However, with deliveries of the new Fiesta picking up steam, this may have been Peugeot‘s last shot at repeating that performance. On the other hand, the French brand has momentum with its fresh crossovers 3008 and 5008 and the 208 suddenly on a roll, while Ford is dependent on the Kuga and Fiesta to offset losses for the aging Focus and Mondeo and its declining MPVs. BMW is back ahead of Audi again as the two brands have switched places almost on a monthly base. Skoda and Toyota round up the top-10 again, keeping Fiat just outside of it. Dacia re-enters the top-15 for the first time in 3 months and outsells Kia and Seat.
November brands ranking
Brand | Nov 2017 | Nov 2016 | change | 2017 share | 2016 share | YTD rank | |
1 | Volkswagen | 139.140 | 137.647 | 1,1% | 11,2% | 11,7% | 1 |
2 | Renault | 97.384 | 94.150 | 3,4% | 7,8% | 8,0% | 2 |
3 | Ford | 80.704 | 77.513 | 4,1% | 6,5% | 6,6% | 3 |
4 | Peugeot | 79.357 | 66.239 | 19,8% | 6,4% | 5,6% | 5 |
5 | Mercedes-Benz | 74.239 | 70.615 | 5,1% | 6,0% | 6,0% | 6 |
6 | Opel/Vauxhall | 70.940 | 74.211 | -4,4% | 5,7% | 6,3% | 4 |
7 | BMW | 68.279 | 69.261 | -1,4% | 5,5% | 5,9% | 8 |
8 | Audi | 65.073 | 60.019 | 8,4% | 5,2% | 5,1% | 7 |
9 | Skoda | 59.395 | 54.047 | 9,9% | 4,8% | 4,6% | 10 |
10 | Toyota | 52.098 | 46.449 | 12,2% | 4,2% | 3,9% | 11 |
11 | Fiat | 51.578 | 55.902 | -7,7% | 4,1% | 4,7% | 9 |
12 | Citroën | 43.862 | 38.526 | 13,9% | 3,5% | 3,3% | 12 |
13 | Hyundai | 42.050 | 40.217 | 4,6% | 3,4% | 3,4% | 14 |
14 | Nissan | 37.686 | 39.621 | -4,9% | 3,0% | 3,4% | 13 |
15 | Dacia | 37.543 | 31.286 | 20,0% | 3,0% | 2,7% | 16 |
16 | Kia | 36.473 | 31.351 | 16,3% | 2,9% | 2,7% | 15 |
17 | Seat | 34.898 | 31.352 | 11,3% | 2,8% | 2,7% | 17 |
18 | Volvo | 24.925 | 25.391 | -1,8% | 2,0% | 2,2% | 18 |
19 | Suzuki | 19.822 | 15.800 | 25,5% | 1,6% | 1,3% | 19 |
20 | Mini | 19.349 | 16.069 | 20,4% | 1,6% | 1,4% | 21 |
21 | Mazda | 17.592 | 15.457 | 13,8% | 1,4% | 1,3% | 20 |
22 | Land Rover | 13.152 | 11.998 | 9,6% | 1,1% | 1,0% | 22 |
23 | Honda | 10.873 | 10.774 | 0,9% | 0,9% | 0,9% | 23 |
24 | Jeep | 10.522 | 8.180 | 28,6% | 0,8% | 0,7% | 25 |
25 | Smart | 8.916 | 8.134 | 9,6% | 0,7% | 0,7% | 26 |
26 | Mitsubishi | 8.730 | 8.993 | -2,9% | 0,7% | 0,8% | 24 |
27 | Alfa Romeo | 7.977 | 6.170 | 29,3% | 0,6% | 0,5% | 27 |
28 | Porsche | 5.749 | 5.763 | -0,2% | 0,5% | 0,5% | 28 |
29 | Jaguar | 5.218 | 5.730 | -8,9% | 0,4% | 0,5% | 29 |
30 | Lancia | 3.959 | 4.445 | -10,9% | 0,3% | 0,4% | 30 |
31 | Lexus | 3.671 | 3.237 | 13,4% | 0,3% | 0,3% | 32 |
32 | DS | 3.603 | 3.959 | -9,0% | 0,3% | 0,3% | 31 |
33 | Subaru | 3.135 | 2.791 | 12,3% | 0,3% | 0,2% | 33 |
34 | Tesla | 2.695 | 963 | 179,9% | 0,2% | 0,1% | 34 |
35 | SSangYong | 1.319 | 1.294 | 1,9% | 0,1% | 0,1% | 35 |
36 | Infiniti | 792 | 1.071 | -26,1% | 0,1% | 0,1% | 36 |
37 | Maserati | 694 | 751 | -7,6% | 0,1% | 0,1% | 37 |
38 | Lada | 489 | 378 | 29,4% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 38 |
39 | SAIC MG | 345 | 263 | 31,2% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 39 |
40 | Bentley | 269 | 264 | 1,9% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 40 |
41 | Ferrari | 131 | 107 | 22,4% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 41 |
42 | Aston Martin | 130 | 139 | -6,5% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 42 |
43 | Chevrolet | 112 | 97 | 15,5% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 43 |
44 | Cadillac | 87 | 76 | 14,5% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 45 |
45 | Rolls Royce | 75 | 69 | 8,7% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 47 |
46 | Lamborghini | 74 | 55 | 34,5% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 44 |
47 | Dodge | 64 | 34 | 88,2% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 48 |
48 | Mahindra | 33 | 38 | -13,2% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 49 |
49 | DR | 33 | 31 | 6,5% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 50 |
50 | Lotus | 31 | 65 | -52,3% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 46 |
51 | Geely | 7 | 4 | 75,0% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 51 |
No changes in the YTD ranking top-4 from October as these positions are all but locked in for the year. Thanks to its great performance in November, Peugeot steals 5th place from Mercedes-Benz, which is still the fastest growing brand in the top-10. Fiat‘s advantage over Skoda and Toyota is large enough for it not to be threatened in the final month of 2017. Outside of the top-10, Citroën has leapfrogged Nissan to claim 12th place. DS seems able to hold on to its place above Lexus – for now. Finally, after registering the first modern A110 in October, Alpine is back to 0 in November as the bulk of customer deliveries will start in 2018.
January – November brands ranking
Brand | 2017 | 2016 | change | 2017 share | 2016 share | 2016 rank | |
1 | Volkswagen | 1.558.843 | 1.572.606 | -0,9% | 10,9% | 11,4% | 1 |
2 | Renault | 1.032.538 | 982.491 | 5,1% | 7,2% | 7,1% | 2 |
3 | Ford | 959.846 | 965.577 | -0,6% | 6,7% | 7,0% | 3 |
4 | Opel/Vauxhall | 877.055 | 912.690 | -3,9% | 6,1% | 6,6% | 4 |
5 | Peugeot | 846.234 | 795.735 | 6,3% | 5,9% | 5,8% | 5 |
6 | Mercedes-Benz | 842.648 | 770.791 | 9,3% | 5,9% | 5,6% | 6 |
7 | Audi | 768.441 | 763.752 | 0,6% | 5,4% | 5,5% | 7 |
8 | BMW | 751.853 | 748.837 | 0,4% | 5,2% | 5,4% | 8 |
9 | Fiat | 726.958 | 685.847 | 6,0% | 5,1% | 5,0% | 9 |
10 | Skoda | 644.221 | 603.161 | 6,8% | 4,5% | 4,4% | 10 |
11 | Toyota | 629.335 | 546.758 | 15,1% | 4,4% | 4,0% | 11 |
12 | Citroën | 528.411 | 503.659 | 4,9% | 3,7% | 3,6% | 13 |
13 | Nissan | 523.084 | 505.513 | 3,5% | 3,6% | 3,7% | 12 |
14 | Hyundai | 473.875 | 460.324 | 2,9% | 3,3% | 3,3% | 14 |
15 | Kia | 430.677 | 403.942 | 6,6% | 3,0% | 2,9% | 15 |
16 | Dacia | 420.302 | 375.159 | 12,0% | 2,9% | 2,7% | 16 |
17 | Seat | 368.625 | 321.514 | 14,7% | 2,6% | 2,3% | 17 |
18 | Volvo | 273.233 | 259.336 | 5,4% | 1,9% | 1,9% | 18 |
19 | Suzuki | 224.305 | 182.533 | 22,9% | 1,6% | 1,3% | 21 |
20 | Mazda | 212.058 | 217.332 | -2,4% | 1,5% | 1,6% | 19 |
21 | Mini | 195.871 | 191.365 | 2,4% | 1,4% | 1,4% | 20 |
22 | Land Rover | 158.324 | 154.968 | 2,2% | 1,1% | 1,1% | 22 |
23 | Honda | 131.179 | 148.501 | -11,7% | 0,9% | 1,1% | 23 |
24 | Mitsubishi | 105.437 | 106.750 | -1,2% | 0,7% | 0,8% | 24 |
25 | Jeep | 98.415 | 95.700 | 2,8% | 0,7% | 0,7% | 26 |
26 | Smart | 92.191 | 97.446 | -5,4% | 0,6% | 0,7% | 25 |
27 | Alfa Romeo | 81.079 | 60.010 | 35,1% | 0,6% | 0,4% | 31 |
28 | Porsche | 67.498 | 63.824 | 5,8% | 0,5% | 0,5% | 27 |
29 | Jaguar | 64.824 | 62.136 | 4,3% | 0,5% | 0,4% | 29 |
30 | Lancia-Chrysler | 57.558 | 62.635 | -8,1% | 0,4% | 0,5% | 28 |
31 | DS | 42.525 | 61.619 | -31,0% | 0,3% | 0,4% | 30 |
32 | Lexus | 41.219 | 40.746 | 1,2% | 0,3% | 0,3% | 32 |
33 | Subaru | 32.068 | 34.075 | -5,9% | 0,2% | 0,2% | 33 |
34 | Tesla | 23.166 | 12.708 | 82,3% | 0,2% | 0,1% | 36 |
35 | SSangYong | 15.956 | 17.807 | -10,4% | 0,1% | 0,1% | 34 |
36 | Infiniti | 12.069 | 12.828 | -5,9% | 0,1% | 0,1% | 35 |
37 | Maserati | 8.997 | 6.988 | 28,7% | 0,1% | 0,1% | 37 |
38 | Lada | 4.818 | 3.729 | 29,2% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 39 |
39 | SAIC MG | 3.861 | 3.827 | 0,9% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 38 |
40 | Bentley | 3.651 | 3.244 | 12,5% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 40 |
41 | Ferrari | 2.362 | 2.611 | -9,5% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 41 |
42 | Aston Martin | 2.321 | 1.339 | 73,3% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 43 |
43 | Chevrolet | 2.287 | 1.556 | 47,0% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 42 |
44 | Lamborghini | 939 | 902 | 4,1% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 44 |
45 | Cadillac | 832 | 704 | 18,2% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 47 |
46 | Lotus | 718 | 798 | -10,0% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 45 |
47 | Rolls Royce | 687 | 731 | -6,0% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 46 |
48 | Dodge | 558 | 548 | 1,8% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 48 |
49 | Mahindra | 397 | 428 | -7,2% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 50 |
50 | DR | 394 | 433 | -9,0% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 49 |
51 | Geely | 222 | 72 | 208,3% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 52 |
52 | Bugatti | 12 | 6 | 100,0% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 53 |
53 | Great Wall | 3 | 123 | -97,6% | 0,0% | 0,0% | 51 |
54 | Alpine | 1 | 0 | New | 0,0% | 0,0% | – |
European car sales statistics are from the following countries: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom. They exclude vehicles registered as commercial vehicles. Source: ANDC, JATO Dynamics