European car sales analysis April 2020 – brands

April was hopefully the lowest point for European car sales, with a 74.1% decline on the same month last year, to just over 350,000 sales which represents a loss of over a million sales and is the strongest monthly drop in car deliveries since records began. However, most countries were still in lockdown for most of the month of May so don’t expect sales to bounce up in a V-shaped recovery as Chinese car sales have. Even if dealerships open again and customer demand picks up, many factories of OEMs and suppliers have been closed as well resulting in supply disruptions. The year-to-date score is now down 37.2% on the first four months of 2019, representing 2 million fewer deliveries. That leads us to believe 2020 could very well be a new low in European car sales, dropping below 12 million for the first time since 1994.

Skoda Sales DataBack to April, where every single one of the 27 EU markets recorded double digit declines. Among the five largest markets, Italy, the UK and Spain recorded the most significant drops at -97.6%, -97.3% and -96.5% respectively. France was down 88.8% and Germany resisted best at “just” -61.1%, making it by far the largest market in Europe at over 120,000 sales, more than one third of the continent’s total deliveries. France was the second largest market at just under 21,000 sales and relatively lockdown-free Sweden was the third largest market at just under 19,000 deliveries. As a result, the models ranking will favor models that are traditionally more popular in Germany (German brands), and less so the nameplates that sell well in Southern Europe (French and Italian brands).

In terms of bodystyles, the pain is shared relatively equal, with sales of car models (hatchback, sedan, stationwagon, coupe and convertible) down 75.4%, crossover and SUV sales down 74% and MPV sales down 75.5%. Within these figures, sales of EVs and PHEVs hold impressivey well at -16% to around 31,500 sales, giving plug-in vehicles a share of 9% of the European car market (5.8% for pure EVs alone).

April 2020 Manufacturers

In the manufacturers ranking, Volkswagen Group outperforms the market at -71%, which is the best result among top-3 manufacturers and the second-best result in the top-9, after BMW in fourth place with sales down just 65.7%. PSA and Renault are down by more than the market average and sell fewer than 50,000 cars each. Hyundai-Kia moves with the market average at -74.1%, outperforming Daimler at -76.1% and Ford Motor Company at -78.1%. Toyota gains share with sales down 72.2% and moves past FCA which loses 84.8% of its sales. Geely Group benefits from relatively strong sales in Volvo’s home market, making it the best performing manufacturer in the top-10 and the second-best performer overall, after Tesla which is down just 27.1% on last year. Suzuki and Mazda lose share, and so does Tata Motors. Honda is one of the worst performers at -84.4% to fewer than 1,500 deliveries. Subaru is below 800 deliveris and General Motors sold just 15 cars in Europe in April.

Group Apr-20 Apr-19 change YTD 2020 YTD 2019 change
1 Volkswagen Group 97.667 337.163 -71,0% 892.290 1.311.462 -32,0%
2 PSA 49.031 220.044 -77,7% 504.107 899.337 -43,9%
3 Renault-Nissan 45.021 187.934 -76,0% 432.391 757.812 -42,9%
4 BMW AG 29.633 86.323 -65,7% 245.611 346.158 -29,0%
5 Hyundai-Kia 23.138 89.415 -74,1% 244.864 356.606 -31,3%
6 Daimler AG 20.845 87.253 -76,1% 203.924 337.000 -39,5%
7 Ford Motor Comp. 18.827 86.008 -78,1% 194.506 352.976 -44,9%
8 Toyota Motor 18.186 65.334 -72,2% 201.242 260.979 -22,9%
9 Fiat-Chrysler Automobiles 13.353 87.806 -84,8% 178.277 339.154 -47,4%
10 Geely Group 10.912 29.010 -62,4% 81.332 114.737 -29,1%
11 Suzuki 4.754 20.295 -76,6% 43.854 87.654 -50,0%
12 Mazda 4.004 18.110 -77,9% 39.727 81.067 -51,0%
13 Tata Motors 3.967 19.227 -79,4% 54.858 86.231 -36,4%
14 Tesla Motors 3.246 4.451 -27,1% 26.496 25.823 2,6%
15 Honda 1.462 9.390 -84,4% 23.839 47.223 -49,5%
16 Subaru Corp. 777 2.552 -69,6% 5.328 10.290 -48,2%
17 Mahindra & Mahindra 294 1.325 -77,8% 3.040 5.212 -41,7%
18 SAIC 175 980 -82,1% 5.239 3.997 31,1%
19 Aston Martin 41 206 -80,1% 483 965 -49,9%
20 General Motors 15 379 -96,0% 61 1.144 -94,7%

April 2020 Brands

DS7_Crossback-auto-sales-statistics-EuropeAt brand level, market leader Volkswagen slightly outperforms the overall market at-72.5%, while BMW is up to a record second place thanks to sales down just 64.7%. Similarly, Skoda is up to third place, its first ever European podium and cutting last months record ranking of #6 in half. Skoda is the best performer in the brands top-22 with sales down 61.4%. Renault is down to 4th place ahead of Mercedes-Benz, Peugeot and Ford, with Audi staying ahead of Toyota while Opel/Vauxhall closes off the top-10. Just outside the top-10, Citroën loses share at -77.5% while Kia outperforms at -71.9%. Dacia and Hyundai lose share, with Volvo closing in at #15, knocking Fiat down to a very painful 16th place. Seat and Nissan are out of the top-15, while Mini and Mitsubishi gain market share with sales down less than 70% each. Tesla is the best performer among brands as well, while Porsche also outperforms. Land Rover, Jeep and Jaguar lose share, while DS gains share and outsells Alfa Romeo and Lexus by a large margin. Smart is marginalized by its EV-only strategy, down 95.6%. Even SAIC MG loses 82.1% in April, but it’s one of only three brands to be still in the black YTD. MG is up 31.1% in the first four months, Tesla is up 2.6% and DS is up by 7 deliveries. Biggest loser in April is Italy-dependent Lancia at -98.1%, followed by Chevrolet at -96.7%, Alpine at -92.4% and Infiniti at -91.4%. At this rate, Chevrolet and Infiniti will never run out of their last remaining stock before they’ll definitely be history in Europe. Newcomer Polestar registers another 9 cars in April and is up to 28 for the year.

Brand Apr-20 Apr-19 change 2020 share 2019 share YTD rank 2020 2019 change
1 Volkswagen 41.947 152.628 -72,5% 12,1% 11,3% 1 389.770 603.072 -35,4%
2 BMW 24.961 70.783 -64,7% 7,2% 5,2% 5 198.547 275.283 -27,9%
3 Skoda 24.871 64.391 -61,4% 7,2% 4,8% 8 186.656 250.078 -25,4%
4 Renault 22.998 90.799 -74,7% 6,7% 6,7% 3 207.001 357.739 -42,1%
5 Mercedes-Benz 20.384 76.783 -73,5% 5,9% 5,7% 4 199.940 302.298 -33,9%
6 Peugeot 19.509 88.090 -77,9% 5,6% 6,5% 2 207.698 350.020 -40,7%
7 Ford 18.827 86.008 -78,1% 5,5% 6,4% 6 194.504 352.976 -44,9%
8 Audi 18.139 65.519 -72,3% 5,3% 4,8% 9 178.518 265.844 -32,8%
9 Toyota 17.383 60.829 -71,4% 5,0% 4,5% 7 187.132 243.462 -23,1%
10 Opel/Vauxhall 15.020 69.958 -78,5% 4,3% 5,2% 10 149.529 305.355 -51,0%
11 Citroën 13.133 58.350 -77,5% 3,8% 4,3% 11 132.394 229.483 -42,3%
12 Kia 12.083 42.946 -71,9% 3,5% 3,2% 12 127.334 174.017 -26,8%
13 Dacia 11.907 51.224 -76,8% 3,4% 3,8% 16 95.350 193.440 -50,7%
14 Hyundai 11.055 46.469 -76,2% 3,2% 3,4% 14 117.530 182.589 -35,6%
15 Volvo 10.890 28.937 -62,4% 3,2% 2,1% 18 81.197 114.546 -29,1%
16 Fiat 9.986 62.599 -84,0% 2,9% 4,6% 13 126.259 233.403 -45,9%
17 Seat 9.630 46.036 -79,1% 2,8% 3,4% 15 116.663 169.261 -31,1%
18 Nissan 5.763 32.013 -82,0% 1,7% 2,4% 17 92.168 148.249 -37,8%
19 Suzuki 4.754 20.295 -76,6% 1,4% 1,5% 20 43.854 87.654 -50,0%
20 Mini 4.653 15.479 -69,9% 1,3% 1,1% 19 46.861 70.590 -33,6%
21 Mitsubishi 4.204 12.686 -66,9% 1,2% 0,9% 23 36.801 53.611 -31,4%
22 Mazda 4.004 18.110 -77,9% 1,2% 1,3% 21 39.727 81.067 -51,0%
23 Tesla 3.246 4.451 -27,1% 0,9% 0,3% 25 26.496 25.823 2,6%
24 Porsche 2.854 8.021 -64,4% 0,8% 0,6% 27 18.881 21.090 -10,5%
25 Land Rover 2.456 12.163 -79,8% 0,7% 0,9% 22 38.252 56.098 -31,8%
26 Jeep 2.008 13.474 -85,1% 0,6% 1,0% 24 27.542 57.436 -52,0%
27 Jaguar 1.511 7.064 -78,6% 0,4% 0,5% 28 16.606 30.133 -44,9%
28 Honda 1.462 9.390 -84,4% 0,4% 0,7% 26 23.839 47.223 -49,5%
29 DS 1.369 3.646 -62,5% 0,4% 0,3% 29 14.486 14.479 0,0%
30 Alfa Romeo 807 4.737 -83,0% 0,2% 0,4% 32 8.898 19.837 -55,1%
31 Lexus 803 4.505 -82,2% 0,2% 0,3% 30 14.110 17.517 -19,4%
32 Subaru 777 2.552 -69,6% 0,2% 0,2% 33 5.328 10.290 -48,2%
33 Smart 461 10.470 -95,6% 0,1% 0,8% 35 3.984 34.702 -88,5%
34 SSangYong 289 1.208 -76,1% 0,1% 0,1% 36 2.656 4.770 -44,3%
35 Ferrari 241 432 -44,2% 0,1% 0,0% 37 1.282 1.336 -4,0%
36 SAIC MG 175 980 -82,1% 0,1% 0,1% 34 5.239 3.997 31,1%
37 Lada 124 432 -71,3% 0,0% 0,0% 40 758 1.842 -58,8%
38 Lancia 110 5.739 -98,1% 0,0% 0,4% 31 12.826 24.267 -47,1%
39 Lamborghini 106 213 -50,2% 0,0% 0,0% 42 657 826 -20,5%
40 Bentley 101 315 -67,9% 0,0% 0,0% 38 1.001 1.189 -15,8%
41 Maserati 72 546 -86,8% 0,0% 0,0% 39 883 2.042 -56,8%
42 Dodge 59 119 -50,4% 0,0% 0,0% 47 264 387 -31,8%
43 Aston Martin 41 206 -80,1% 0,0% 0,0% 43 483 965 -49,9%
44 Alpine 37 489 -92,4% 0,0% 0,0% 46 292 1.756 -83,4%
45 Infiniti 25 291 -91,4% 0,0% 0,0% 45 313 1.175 -73,4%
46 Rolls Royce 19 61 -68,9% 0,0% 0,0% 48 203 285 -28,8%
47 DR Motor 15 129 -88,4% 0,0% 0,0% 41 661 963 -31,4%
48 Lotus 13 67 -80,6% 0,0% 0,0% 49 104 164 -36,6%
49 Chevrolet 11 331 -96,7% 0,0% 0,0% 51 47 868 -94,6%
50 Polestar 9 0 New 0,0% 0,0% 52 28 0 New
51 Mahindra 5 117 -95,7% 0,0% 0,0% 44 384 442 -13,1%
52 Cadillac 4 47 -91,5% 0,0% 0,0% 54 14 273 -94,9%
53 Great Wall 3 0 New 0,0% 0,0% 50 53 0 New
54 Chrysler 3 18 -83,3% 0,0% 0,0% 53 25 59 -57,6%
55 Bugatti 1 4 -75,0% 0,0% 0,0% 55 6 11 -45,5%

European car sales statistics are from the following countries: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom. They exclude vehicles registered as commercial vehicles. Source: ANDC, JATO Dynamics