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Home » Archives for November 2017

Archives for November 2017

China car sales analysis October 2017

November 30, 2017 by Bart Demandt 3 Comments

China-car-sales-graph-october_2017Sales of domestic passenger cars in China edges up by half a percent in October 2017, to almost 2.32 million sales, the highest volume of the year so far. With such a slow growth rate and 2 months ahead of us with booming growth rates last year, it will be difficult for the Chinese car market to reach its expected 5% growth rate in 2017. Year-to-date sales for the first 10 months are up 3,34% to just over 19 million. If the pace does not improve for the full year, it would be the slowest growth rate in modern history, and down from 17,2% last year. At least we can be almost sure the market will show another record year as sales would have to be down 12% in the last 2 months for a full-year decline (or down to their 2015 levels, which hasn’t happened a single time so far this year). Back to October: the only segment to show growth was that of crossovers and SUVs again, which were up by 13,5% to 995.600 sales (YTD up 17,3%), while sedans were down 3,9% to 1.116.200 sales (YTD up 1,9%) and MPVs too the biggest hit at -13,2% to 205.600 sales (YTD down 5,7%). Within those sales figures, sales of electric cars and plug-in hybrids jumped 107% to 91.000, or 4% of the market. For the first 10 months, EV and plug-in hybrid sales rose 45% to almost 490.000 units, or 2,6% of the total market. The Beijing government has set a target of 6,7% in 2020 and as much as 20% by 2025, helped by a carbon credit scheme that was originally planned to be imposed in 2018 but which has been postponed to 2019. This year, an estimated 700.000 New Energy Vehicles are expected to be sold.

The Seasonally Adjusted Annualized selling Rate in October stood at 25,8 million, a similar level as last month. The share of domestic automakers in October jumped to 42,8%, up 3 percentage points on September and the highest figure since last March, but still down from 44,2% in October 2016. Sales of domestic brand vehicles across all segments were down 2,7%, compared to a gain of 5,2% for European brands, +5,3% for US brands and +10% for Japanese. In contrast, South-Korean brands continued their losing streak to 10 months as they lost 21,5% in October and 53,1% YTD. [Read more…]

Car sales China 2017, analysis, China, models, october, ranking, sales

US sales 2017 Q3: Commercial Van segment

November 29, 2017 by Krzysztof Wozniak 1 Comment

The segment grows slowly thanks to a halt in the small vans sales decline


Overall sales of Commercial Vans in the US recovered a bit in the third quarter, with sales of large vans growing by 2%, and sales of small vans not changing much compared to Q3’16. This is a big improvement especially for the latter subsegment, which saw double-digit declines in the first two quarters. Still, because of this decline earlier in the year the overall segment is down 2% on where it was this time last year, with large vans up 1% and small vans down 13% YTD.
[Read more…]

US Commercial van segment 2017, Chevrolet City Express, Chevrolet Express, commercial vans, Ford E-series, ford transit, Ford Transit Connect, GMC Savana, Mercedes-Benz Metris, mercedes-benz sprinter, Nissan NV, Nissan NV200, q3, Ram Promaster, Ram Promaster City

US sales 2017 Q3: Sports Large and Exotics segment

November 27, 2017 by Krzysztof Wozniak 2 Comments

Sales collapse of segment-leading Chevy Corvette leads segment to unexpected Q3 sales dropUS large sportsSales of Large Sports Cars and Exotics suffered an unexpected collapse in the third quarter of the year – after declining by around 5% in the first two quarters of the year they fell by 23% in the third quarter. Time will tell if this is a sign of tough times ahead, or possibly a temporary correction after two strong quarters. The lack of new metal won’t help – while the new Lexus LC is proving a big hit with buyers, many of the segment stalwarts are rapidly moving past their “sell by” date (Mercedes-Benz SL, Maserati GranTurismo).

[Read more…]

US Exotic car segment Acura NSX, Audi R8, Bentley Continental GT, bmw i8, Chevrolet Corvette, Dodge Viper, Ford GT, Jaguar F-type, Jaguar XK, Lexus LC, Maserati GranTurismo, mercedes-AMG GT, Mercedes-Benz CL, Mercedes-Benz SL, nissan gt-r, Porsche 911, q3

US sales 2017 Q3: Mid-sized Sports segment

November 27, 2017 by Krzysztof Wozniak Leave a Comment

The segment and the new Ford Mustang continue their double-digit declines

US Small Sports

Sales in the Mid-sized Sports segment continued falling in the third quarter of 2017 as they had so far this year, resulting in a YTD fall of 14.9%. As we had mentioned before, while the headline figure is mainly the result in falling popularity for the segment leader Ford Mustang, in fact most cars in the segment, even the newest ones, have seen their popularity fall in 2017 so far. Clearly the allure of alternative “emotional purchases” such as 4-door “coupes” (BMW 4-series GranCoupe, Audi A5 Sportback) and sporty SUVs (BMW X4, Mercedes-Benz GLC Coupe, Porsche Macan) is eating into the traditional segment in which rich 50- and 60-year-olds used to treat themselves.

[Read more…]

US Large sports car segment 2017, Alfa Romeo 4C, Audi TT, BMW Z4, Chevrolet Camaro, Dodge Challenger, Ford Mustang, Hyundai Genesis coupe, Mercedes-Benz SLK/SLC, Nissan 350/370Z, Nissan 370Z, Porsche Boxster, Porsche Cayman, q3, sports car

US sales 2017 Q3: Small Sports segment

November 25, 2017 by Krzysztof Wozniak Leave a Comment

Mazda MX-5 narrows in on the lead as segment sales collapse by half in Q3’17The decline in Small Sports car sales went from troubling to almost catastrophic, as sales fell by almost half in the third quarter of 2017, worse than even the perennially underperforming Minicar segment. Although there is some hope in the form of the new Hyundai Veloster, that car won’t arrive until sometime in 2018 – until then, it’s likely sales will continue declining.

[Read more…]

US Compact sports car segment 2017, Buick Cascada, Fiat 124 Spider, Honda CR-Z, Hyundai Veloster, Mazda MX-5 Miata, q3, Scion FR-S, Scion Tc, sports car, Subaru BRZ, Toyota 86

US sales 2017 Q3: Small Pickup segment

November 23, 2017 by Krzysztof Wozniak 3 Comments

The segment with the highest growth in 2016 registers its first quarterly loss in years

After barely growing in the first two quarters the Small Pickup segment shrank by 1% in the third quarter of 2017, a substantial climbdown for the hefty 26% growth rate the segment registered in 2016. Moreover, with the replacement for the Nissan Frontier, the eagerly-awaited Jeep Wrangler pickup and the return of the Ford Ranger still a while away, it is unlikely the segment will see a huge upturn anytime soon.

[Read more…]

US Small pickup segment 2017, Chevrolet Colorado, GMC Canyon, Honda Ridgeline, nissan frontier, q3, sales, toyota tacoma, US

US sales Q3 2017 Large Pick-up segment

November 22, 2017 by Krzysztof Wozniak Leave a Comment

US Large PickupSales in the Large Pickup segment grew by 6% in the third quarter of 2017, slightly faster than in the second quarter and pretty much the same as in the first, giving this large segment impressive consistency. With the new RAM Pickup and Chevrolet Silverado on the horizon, things may kick up the gear for the segment in 2018, as it continues to claw back ground it lost in recent years to the Small PIckup and Commercial Vans segments.

[Read more…]

US Pickup segment 2017, chevrolet silverado, Ford F-series, GMC Sierra, Nissan Titan, q3, RAM Pickup, sales, Toyota Tundra, US

US sales 2017 Q3: Premium Full-size SUV segment

November 21, 2017 by Krzysztof Wozniak Leave a Comment

Slowdown in the sector almost pushes it into the clutches of the Premium Compact SUV segment
Sales of Premium Full-Size SUVs were down 1% in the third quarter of 2017, a slight slowdown relative to the 3% growth in the second quarter, and a considerable slowdown relative to the 19% growth recorded in the first quarter. With 92,052 sales since the beginning of the year, the segment remains slightly ahead of the Premium Compact SUV segment, but with the latter growing at double-digit rates it seems likely it will become the smallest among the Premium SUV sectors in 2018, unless the new Lincoln Navigator and upcoming Cadillac Escalade can somehow bring back the era when bling dinosaurs ruled the earth.

Note: after lumping really models as disparate as the Lincoln MKX and Bentley Bentayga under the Premium Large SUV banner for a long time, we have decided to split the segment into two: Premium Large SUV and Premium Full-size SUV. The difference between the two will hopefully be self-evident, but we’re aiming for the latter segment to capture models that are ahead of the more homogenous Premium Large SUV pack either through their size (Lincoln Navigator, Cadillac Escalade, Infiniti QX80, Mercedes-Benz GLS, Lexus LX), price (Range Rover, Mercedes-Benz G-Class), or both (Bentley Bentayga). Let us know what you think of this new split.

[Read more…]

US Premium large SUV segment 2017, Bentley Bentayga, Cadillac Escalade, Cadillac Escalade ESV, Infiniti QX56/QX80, Land Rover Range Rover, Lexus LX, Lincoln Navigator, Mercedes-Benz G-Class, Mercedes-Benz GL/GLS-class, q3

European sales 2017 Q1-Q3 Exotic and Sports Car segments

November 20, 2017 by Bart Demandt 3 Comments

Exotic_car-segment-European-sales-2017-Ferrari_488-Bentley_Continental_GT-Aston_Martin_DB11After a slight decrease in the second quarter of 2017,sales of exotic cars in Europe have returned to double digit growth with a 10% increase in the third quarter. As a result, the year-to-date figure is still up 16% to just over 5.500 units. The all-new Aston Martin DB11 has already lost the segment lead it took in the first quarter, as it was down into third place in both Q2 and Q3. The best seller in the third quarter was the former segment leader Bentley Continental GT, even though the next generation of that model has already been revealed and will hit showrooms in 2018. The current generation lost 13% of its volume in the third quarter. The Ferrari 488 was up 13% in Q3 and holds on to its top spot for now, but it will be a tight race with the Continental GT if the latter keeps up its momentum. If the Bentley manages to top the ranking again this year, it would mark the 6th consecutive year the model will do so. For the 488 it would be the first time in its career. Its predecessor 458 Italia never took the title, as the last time a Ferrari was the best selling exotic car in Europe was in 2009, the last year of the F430. The only other model to sell over 150 units in Q3 is the Lamborghini Huracan, up 8% on last year.

[Read more…]

Exotic car segment Alfa Romeo 4C, Aston Martin DB11, Aston Martin DBS, Aston Martin V8/V12 Vantage, Aston Martin Vanquish, Audi R8, Audi TT, Bentley Continental GT/GTC, bmw i8, BMW Z4, Bugatti Chiron, Chevrolet Camaro, europe, exotic cars, Ferrari 488GTB, Ferrari 599 GTB Fiorano, Ferrari California, Ferrari F12, Ferrari GTC4Lusso, Fiat 124 Spider, Ford Mustang, Honda NSX, Hyundai Genesis coupe, Jaguar F-type, Jaguar XK, Lamborghini Aventador, Lamborghini Huracan, Lotus Elise, Lotus Evora, Lotus Exige, Maserati GranCabrio, Maserati GranTurismo, Mazda MX-5, mercedes-AMG GT, Mercedes-Benz SL, Mercedes-Benz SLC, Mercedes-Benz SLS AMG, Nissan 370Z, Peugeot RCZ, Porsche 911, Porsche Boxster, Porsche Cayman, Rolls Royce Wraith, Rolls-Royce Dawn, sales, sports cars, Subaru BRZ, Toyota GT86

US sales 2017 Q3: Premium Large SUV segment

November 20, 2017 by Krzysztof Wozniak 8 Comments

Segment recovers as some of the newcomers see good sales growth

US Large Premium SUV
Sales of Premium Large SUVs were up 5% in the third quarter of 2017, a slightly recovery from the gently 2% sales decline over the first two quarters of the year. With a total of 366,324 units this still makes this the largest from amongst the Premium SUV segments, but the lead it has to the Premium Mid-sized SUV segment continues to shrink. 

Note: after lumping really models as disparate as the Lincoln MKX and Bentley Bentayga under the Premium Large SUV banner for a long time, we have decided to split the segment into two: Premium Large SUV and Premium Full-size SUV. The difference between the two will hopefully be self-evident, but we’re aiming for the latter segment to capture models that are ahead of the more homogenous Premium Large SUV pack either through their size (Lincoln Navigator, Cadillac Escalade, Infiniti QX80, Mercedes-Benz GLS, Lexus LX), price (Range Rover, Mercedes-Benz G-Class), or both (Bentley Bentayga). Let us know what you think of this new split.

[Read more…]

US Premium large SUV segment 2017, Acura MDX, Audi Q7, BMW X5, BMW X6, Infiniti QX60, Infiniti QX70, Land Rover Discovery, Lexus GX, Lexus RX, Lincoln MKT, Lincoln MKX, Maserati Levante, Mercedes-Benz GLE, Porsche Cayenne, premium large suv, q3, range rover sport, Tesla Model X, Volvo XC90

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